Graphic Packaging Valuation

GPK Stock  USD 13.29  0.00  0.00%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Graphic Packaging Holding retains a regular Real Value of $14.2 per share. The prevalent price of the firm is $13.29. Our model calculates the value of Graphic Packaging Holding from evaluating the firm fundamentals such as return on asset of 0.046, and Return On Equity of 0.14 as well as inspecting its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Graphic Packaging's valuation include:
Price Book
1.1731
Enterprise Value
9.2 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
6.8934
Price Sales
0.4541
Forward PE
8.8339
Undervalued
Today
13.29
Please note that Graphic Packaging's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of Graphic Packaging Holding is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Graphic Packaging's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Graphic Packaging's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price of 13.29, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  13.29 Real  14.2 Target  14.63 Hype  13.22
The intrinsic value of Graphic Packaging's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Graphic Packaging's stock price.
14.20
Real Value
17.40
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Graphic Packaging Holding helps investors to forecast how Graphic stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Graphic Packaging more accurately as focusing exclusively on Graphic Packaging's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.040.120.37
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.0213.2216.42
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
13.3114.6316.24
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Graphic Packaging's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Graphic Packaging's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Graphic Packaging's closest peers.

Graphic Packaging Cash

274.05 Million

Graphic Packaging Total Value Analysis

Graphic Packaging Holding is currently projected to have company total value of 9.22 B with market capitalization of 3.91 B, debt of 5.57 B, and cash on hands of 261 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Graphic Packaging fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
9.22 B
3.91 B
5.57 B
261 M

Graphic Packaging Investor Information

About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.17. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Graphic Packaging Holding has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.13. The entity last dividend was issued on the 15th of December 2025. The firm had 9:5 split on the 3rd of January 2000. Graphic Packaging Holding is performing exceptionally good at this time. It has a great probability to report excellent financial results in March.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.0570.1008
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income912.5 M869 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Graphic Packaging Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Graphic Packaging has an asset utilization ratio of 73.18 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.73 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Graphic Packaging Holding is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Graphic Packaging Profitability Analysis

Considering the key profitability indicators obtained from Graphic Packaging's historical financial statements, Graphic Packaging Holding is performing exceptionally good at this time. It has a great probability to showcase excellent profitability results in March. Profitability indicators assess Graphic Packaging's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1991-03-31
Previous Quarter
142 M
Current Value
71 M
Quarterly Volatility
58.9 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, Graphic Packaging's Gross Profit is quite stable compared to the past year. Pretax Profit Margin is expected to rise to 0.07 this year, although the value of Operating Profit Margin will most likely fall to 0.06.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.210.1871
Moderately Up
Slightly volatile
Net Profit Margin0.05410.0515
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.0570.1008
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Pretax Profit Margin0.0710.0677
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Return On Assets0.03960.0377
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Return On Equity0.140.1331
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
For Graphic Packaging profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Graphic Packaging Holding to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Graphic Packaging utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Graphic Packaging's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Graphic Packaging over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Graphic Packaging Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Graphic Packaging is estimated to be 0.1209 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.0363 to a high of 0.37. Graphic Packaging's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 1.48. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Graphic Packaging Holding is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Graphic Packaging is projected to generate 0.1209 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2026. Graphic Packaging earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Graphic Packaging EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Graphic Packaging's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Graphic Packaging, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Graphic Packaging Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Graphic Packaging's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Graphic Packaging is estimated to be 0.1209 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.0363 to a high of 0.37. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Graphic Packaging Holding is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.29
0.04
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.1209
0.37
Highest

Graphic Packaging Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Graphic Packaging's value are higher than the current market price of the Graphic Packaging stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Graphic Packaging is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Graphic Packaging's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2026Current EPS (TTM)
1190.29%
0.29
0.1209
1.48

Graphic Packaging Ownership Allocation

The majority of Graphic Packaging Holding outstanding shares are owned by outside corporations. These institutional investors are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to purchase positions in Graphic Packaging to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, third-party entities are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Graphic Packaging Holding. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Graphic Packaging Holding as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that on November 14, 2025, Representative Ro Khanna of US Congress acquired under $15k worth of Graphic Packaging Holding's common stock.

Graphic Packaging Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 8.62 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 444 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.6 B.

Graphic Packaging Past Distributions to stockholders

About Graphic Packaging Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Graphic Packaging Holding. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Graphic Packaging Holding based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Graphic Packaging's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Graphic Packaging's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Graphic Packaging. We calculate exposure to Graphic Packaging's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Graphic Packaging's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit1.6 B1.7 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.07  0.07 
Operating Profit Margin 0.10  0.06 
Net Profit Margin 0.05  0.05 
Gross Profit Margin 0.19  0.21 
Graphic Packaging's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Graphic Packaging's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Graphic Packaging can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Graphic Packaging represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Graphic, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Graphic Packaging Dividends Analysis For Valuation

Please note that Graphic Packaging has scaled down on payment of dividends at this time. At this time, Graphic Packaging's Retained Earnings are quite stable compared to the past year. Retained Earnings Total Equity is expected to rise to about 566.3 M this year, although the value of Price Earnings To Growth Ratio will most likely fall to (0.34).
There are various types of dividends Graphic Packaging can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Graphic shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Graphic Packaging Holding directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Graphic pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Graphic Packaging by the value of the dividends paid out.

Graphic Packaging Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Graphic Packaging does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding296.9 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.477
Forward Price Earnings8.8339

Graphic Packaging Current Valuation Indicators

Graphic Packaging's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Graphic Packaging's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Graphic Packaging, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Graphic Packaging's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Graphic Packaging's worth.
When determining whether Graphic Packaging Holding is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Graphic Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Graphic Packaging Holding Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Graphic Packaging Holding Stock:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Graphic Packaging Holding. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Is Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Graphic Packaging. Market participants price Graphic higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Graphic Packaging assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.48)
Dividend Share
0.44
Earnings Share
1.48
Revenue Per Share
28.791
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.004
The market value of Graphic Packaging Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Graphic that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Graphic Packaging's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Graphic Packaging's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Graphic Packaging's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Graphic Packaging's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Graphic Packaging's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Graphic Packaging is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Graphic Packaging's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.